Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 240.863311 271.818766 306.332901 347.871009 396.774508 452.848813 522.483388
2024-11-03 201.886756 244.164597 295.695219 363.991720 453.450053 568.531895 730.945960
2024-11-10 182.712890 231.267769 294.081400 383.072592 508.898438 685.259559 960.307114
2024-11-17 162.841609 213.195011 281.314130 382.899722 535.470265 764.777801 1153.887439
2024-11-24 144.584785 194.334009 264.041973 372.352729 543.252838 815.582417 1312.680909
2024-12-01 130.245738 179.012921 249.430561 362.818357 549.715357 863.709511 1477.095375
2024-12-08 123.387741 173.554415 248.301793 373.296701 589.252800 973.813727 1785.054648
2024-12-15 115.485058 165.609983 242.294646 374.734588 613.097384 1060.042776 2071.385495
2024-12-22 106.838042 155.657849 231.991108 367.422541 619.748944 1114.407754 2305.375799
2024-12-29 100.823155 149.255578 226.670524 367.855341 640.500940 1200.668364 2642.953781
2025-01-05 93.989225 140.955296 217.391128 359.995719 643.760925 1250.492193 2906.674102
2025-01-12 89.130771 135.479229 212.339097 359.204092 660.914854 1334.424136 3295.730615
2025-01-19 81.741238 125.433645 198.860289 341.584712 641.624111 1332.896541 3445.887419
2025-01-26 80.142187 125.038774 202.273233 357.016317 696.045140 1523.460137 4292.936828
2025-02-02 79.065688 125.414659 207.035475 375.664723 761.173211 1760.839530 5455.568674
2025-02-09 75.517286 121.175765 202.911577 375.493285 782.286904 1885.093126 6279.134134
2025-02-16 71.001883 114.905814 194.463935 365.202354 777.050580 1932.245791 6815.226311
2025-02-23 66.987884 109.291503 186.844839 355.897612 772.888643 1982.194410 7405.746579
2025-03-02 65.554369 108.286671 188.035465 366.123486 821.023786 2212.171440 9087.048529
2025-03-09 63.237287 105.486891 185.458078 367.526584 845.939293 2374.417472 10579.966611
2025-03-16 60.195676 101.143879 179.470663 360.391090 846.050123 2450.556589 11644.904250
2025-03-23 58.133367 98.536471 176.809344 360.813465 867.877893 2614.502622 13495.725958
2025-03-30 55.428208 94.545855 171.028879 353.142668 864.757622 2682.667692 14756.288580